2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is as a result of the final four teams, when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon are going to playing to take care of the winner from the Spain vs. Portugal game which takes place later today.
Recent history between these two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't value earlier times, they are centered on the overall game taking place.
The German squad have never beaten website Italy inside a competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, just forget about over it, the past doesn't may play a role inside our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is always that Germany never won against Italy in a very major tournament, but so what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's time for Germany to win as they're the widely used at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will likely be a hardcore, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method for this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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